|
Enhancing Successful Researchers amidst the
Information Explosion
Stephen C. Fowler
Professor of Human Development and Senior Scientist
Institute for Life Span Studies at the University of Kansas
Civilization advances by extending the number
of operations which we can perform without thinking about them.
Alfred North Whitehead
The foregoing aphorism, composed by one of the
great British thinkers of the early 20th century (Whitehead, a colleague
of Bertrand Russell, was a mathematician, scientist, and philosopher),
highlights both the importance of thinking and the value of inventing
ways to free us from elementary operations (e.g., digging a ditch
with a shovel) so we can spend more time thinking. During our recent
cultural evolution, we have built machines that can perform billions
of operations per second without our attention. The time we have
saved by not having to perform what we now think of as trivial operations
(e.g., doing arithmetic with paper and pencil) has been devoted
increasingly to thinking. And a great deal of this thinking has
been applied to the development and archiving of information aimed
at further enhancing our ability to "perform operations without
thinking about them!" Through positive feedback these processes
have produced an information explosion. Pundits estimate that the
amount of information in any field doubles every 15 years. In the
sciences the rate of growth of new information seems almost overwhelming
to the individual scientist.
The rate of growth of information related to
our survival and well being is many orders of magnitude greater
than the rate of evolution of our brains-our organs for processing
information. The biological determinants of our brain's information
processing capacities probably hasn't changed much in the last 50,000
years. Yet the volume of information we are expected to acquire
and manipulate per unit time has increased dramatically. Thus, we
cannot expect biological evolution to have much of an influence
on our ability to adapt to these increasingly information-rich environments
we find ourselves in. Whoever it was that said we only use 10% of
our brain's capacity was speaking about him or herself for there
is no scientific basis for such a claim! Thus, we cannot expect
to cope with massively increasing amounts of information by simply
using the previously unused 90% of our brain's capacity. We now
know that information overload can lead to stress, and stress, as
shown by Sapolsky's work, can actually kill hippocampal neurons,
i.e., brain cells that are crucial for memory. So the information
explosion may be self-limiting if we do not develop coping methods
compatible with our biological limitations. One of our adaptive
behavioral responses has been specialization into ever more narrow
content areas. This too, may be self limiting if we do not take
measures to ensure communication across the specialty domains (i.e.,
tower of Babel will ensue, etc.).
As scientists, we are certainly caught up in
the information explosion, and as I was thinking about these matters,
I could not suppress my urge to collect some data- something tangible
to go by. So I decided to compare, in terms of information content
per article, two issues of the Journal of Comparative and Physiological
Psychology, one issue from April 1968 and one from April 1998
(the journal changed its name to Behavioral Neuroscience in about
1980). This is a 30-year time span; according to the rule that information
doubles every 15 years, during a 30-year interval information will
increase four fold. In order to compare the two journal issues,
I computed the average number of authors, figures, pages, references
and tables per article. The data are shown in the following table.
These data show that the size of the article in 1998 is much larger
than in 1968. The number of references increased more than four
fold (a ratio of 4.7) during the 30 year interval, a result roughly
consistent with the 15-year rule. I conclude that current publications
in Behavioral Neuroscience reflect a lot more information,
thinking, scientific energy, and collaboration, compared to 30 years
ago.
|
Variable Name
|
1968
|
1998
|
Ratio
(1998/1968)
|
| Authors |
1.7 |
3.1 |
1.8 |
| Figures |
2.4 |
7.9 |
3.2 |
| Pages |
6.0 |
13.6 |
2.3 |
| References |
12.2 |
57.6 |
4.7 |
| Tables |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
Over the past 30 years, just as there has been
an escalation of standards for high quality scientific publication,
there has also been a concomitant increase in the difficulty of
securing funding from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and
the National Science Foundation (NSF). At NIH, the Division of Research
Grants (DRG) has recently changed its name to the Center for Scientific
Review (CSR), and along with its name change, the criteria for the
peer evaluation of research proposals have been made more demanding.
The new criteria focus attention on five dimensions that research
proposals should address: significance, approach, innovation, investigator,
and environment. What is new in these criteria is the explicit mention
of innovation. In addition, collaborative arrangements are explicitly
mentioned in regard to the research environment. More specifically,
the verbatim descriptions for innovation and environment are:
"Innovation. Does the project employ novel
concepts, approaches or
methods? Are the aims original and innovative? Does the project
challenge existing paradigms or develop new methodologies or technologies?
Environment. Does the scientific environment
in which the work will be done contribute to the probability of
success? Do the proposed experiments take advantage of unique
features of the scientific environment or employ useful collaborative
arrangements? Is there evidence of institutional support?"
These criteria make it clear that proposals,
more than ever, must include innovative approaches and demonstrate
interdisciplinary or interlaboratory collaborations.
Not only do contemporary grant proposals have
to be four times as well informed as in 1968, the proposals also
should contain explicit evidence for innovation and collaboration.
Innovation and collaboration are believed by peer reviewers only
if they are already demonstrated in the proposal with evidence from
pilot studies. As you probably know, the forging of collaborative
arrangements requires time-consuming discussions and new learning.
Learning new material, while satisfying to most scholars, is usually
quite time consuming compared to keeping up in your own specialty
area. In order to collect the pilot data needed to address the demands
for innovation and collaboration in today's grant proposals, one
needs both time and money.
As most of you know, the challenges of maintaining
an ongoing, funded research program are daunting. As we researchers
accept this challenge we have to acknowledge that the process of
doing research is much like a cottage industry in that the required
operations cannot be performed without thinking about them! Thinking
takes time. My perception is that most of the successful researchers
that I know mostly live a zero sum game in terms of time. A new
activity can only be added to the schedule if some other activity
is deleted.
Given the current research climate, how can we
enhance research productivity of the already successful researcher?
In general, the mid-career scientist needs help with time and money!
The Principal Investigator needs to concentrate on the creative,
thought-based tasks that only he or she can do. Other tasks should
be assigned to support staff. Concurrently, the principal investigators
need additional resources for developing collaborations and innovations.
Although I can think of dozens of specific types
of staff support and services that could be improved at KU and probably
at most state-supported research universities, I want to suggest
to you just two modifications of university operations that I think
would have the biggest effects on increasing research productivity
while having the least adverse impact in terms of cost of implementation.
My two suggestions are:
- link salary decisions directly to the desired
research outcomes, and
- establish internal research accounts for active
principal investigators.
Linking Salary Decisions to Research Productivity
The core concept here is obvious, namely, rewards
(reinforcers) increase the frequency and intensity of the behaviors
that are perceived to produce the reward. If the decision is made
to link salaries to research productivity then the implementation
should consider the following points:
- The linkage should be specific and explicitly
stated.
- The necessary evaluation component of implementation
would benefit from judgements drawn from outside of the traditional
departmental framework. Given the diverse specializations of researchers
within some departments, expertise for judging research productivity
(including quality) may possibly be found outside of departments
rather than within them. In addition, although it is presumed
that departments adhere to the conventional 40%-40%-20% formula
for allocation of time to teaching research and service activities,
respectively, there is no assurance that such a formula is adhered
to because departments sometimes (often?) have values or missions
that conflict with this formula.
- The research centers or institutes are one
likely source of the needed extra-departmental peer evaluators
of research productivity.
Advantages of linking salaries to research productivity
are:
- Directly linking salary increases with research
productivity will help maintain current levels of activity by
successful principal investigators.
- Higher salaries would almost certainly improve
recruiting of research scientists.
- Faculty perception of administrative
efficacy would increase. To be understood, this point requires
explanation. By not having a clear system of rewards for research
success the administrators are deprived of a source of behavioral
control related to research growth and maintenance. For the faculty
that have their time largely controlled by research and the grants
process ("largely controlled" means that evening and
weekends are devoted to the research effort), the current incentives
are extramural, not intramural. The local university administration
is sometimes perceived as having little to give the researcher.
Those with the money (i.e., NIH, NSF) and those peer reviewers
who largely decide who gets the grant money do not reside on the
campus. One way for the university administration to exert more
influence is to make it clear through explicit responses that
they do have resources to devote to the enterprises that they
want to grow. In my view, a major reason that university administrators
are sometimes perceived as having little influence is the poor
financial support available from the state governments so the
administrators haven't had enough money to stimulate change. And
at the same time, the federal government continues to escalate
its control by providing grant dollars or by threatening to terminate
them unless expensive compliance issues are addressed.
- Some faculty who only recently became inactive
in research may renew their research efforts. I emphasize "recently
became inactive" because I think those long inactive simply
will not be able to restart, primarily because the amount of new
information to be mastered will be overwhelming.
- The probability of retaining the best faculty
will increase. The efficiency of such faculty will also increase
because they won't have to use their valuable time trying to develop
offers elsewhere as a means increasing their salaries. Also, important
collaborations can be broken up when a key researcher departs,
and thus the departure can have an effect on research programs
well beyond the loss of one valuable person.
Disadvantages of explicitly linking salary
decisions to research productivity:
- It will be unrealistically expensive to do
so.
- Anti-research forces on and off the campus
will have a clear target to attack.
- The teaching-research conflict may be intensified
unless the "different-roles" model of faculty activity
is adopted. The different-roles model means a departure from the
40%-40%-20% standard formula of time allocation for the faculty.
Most often, this means that those who prefer teaching activities
over research activities will do more teaching than research (e.g.,
70%-10%-20%, for teaching, research and service, respectively).
- Explicitly linking salary decisions to research
productivity will probably produce salary differentials across
disciplines that are even greater than the large discrepancies
we currently have (e.g., classics vs. computer science).
Establishing Internal Accounts for Principal
Investigators
My second suggestion for enhancing the research
productivity for already successful researchers is to establish
internal research accounts for principal investigators (P.I.s).
Let me explain this idea by addressing three questions. Where would
the money come from? Procedurally, how would the money be dispersed?
What are the advantages and disadvantages of this idea?
Where will the money come from? The money, of
course, would almost certainly have to come substantially from indirect
cost reimbursement (overhead), but some portion could be drawn from
the state-allocated part of the research budget (if there is any)
or from private donations.
Procedurally, how would the money be dispersed?
Two non-mutually exclusive methods come to mind.
Method 1: Upon actual submission of an
NSF, NIH, or similar grant, the P.I. would automatically receive
5% of the year 01 budget to pursue the research aims of the grant.
Method 2: Funded investigators should receive
yearly 10% of the indirect costs given to the university by the
funding agency.
If only one method is selected, then I recommend
Method 1 because this procedure will directly stimulate proposal
submissions. Even successful researchers very often do not receive
funding upon the first submission, and the odds are known to be
low, about 1 in 5. A major proposal, requiring 150 to 300 hours
to prepare, is more easily initiated if at least some payoff is
a certainty.
Advantages of having internal accounts for P.I.s
are many. These include:
- Submissions of grant proposals will increase
because P.I.s and prospective P.I.s will know that writing the
proposal is not an all-or-none gamble (related specifically to
Method 1).
- The P.I. will have the flexibility to invest
this money in the best possible way for the vitality of his or
her research program.
- No justifying documents need be created for
obtaining or using the money. This saves time!
- The money can be spent immediately when new
opportunities arise.
- Because the accounts will be able to accumulate
assets, SAVING and PLANNING will be amplified. Saving and planning
are limited in the current extramural grant climate.
- Recruitment of research scientists will be
improved.
- The funds will be used to strengthen specific
laboratories. Building a laboratory's capabilities and survival
chances are tantamount to building the university's research capability.
- The money can be used for developing pilot
data with interdisciplinary collaborators, thereby making future
proposals more competitive.
- The P.I.s fund will serve as the source of
bridging funds to keep projects or personnel active when competing
renewal proposals are not funded on the first submission.
- Important travel opportunities can be pursued
without having to spend one's personal money and without having
to approach administrators for ad hoc handouts (which saves everyone's
time).
- Extra resources in the laboratory will increase
the probability of bringing undergraduates into the research program.
Disadvantages of creating such accounts can also
be anticipated. Some of these potential disadvantages are:
- The P.I.s will spend the money unproductively.
This seems very unlikely because one of the strongest motivators
for most research scientists is the desire to keep his or her
research program on track. One of the scientist's most powerful
rewards is the sense of discovery that arises from new and unexpected
results from the laboratory's experiments. When scientists are
cut off from direct access to the discovery experience, they often
think about retiring-or becoming administrators.
- A few successful P.I.s will begin to exert
unwelcome influence over their department or research center.
This potential problem can be illustrated by a fictitious scenario.
Imagine that Professor Rakus Markle amasses $150,000 in his internal
account. When a faculty vacancy is to be filled, Professor Markle
says "If, from among the three finalists we have identified,
you hire Dr. Laser White, who could contribute greatly to my laboratory's
capabilities, I will contribute $75,000 to Dr. White's start-up
costs." Of course, this could happen, but the question is
whether more good than harm would result from the consequences
of having internal accounts.
- Such accounts under the control of the P.I.
Will lead to redundant equipment purchases or other redundancies
of effort and thus be inefficient compared to "central"
control of the same amount of money. This point is most frequently
debated in the context of large equipment purchases (instruments
that require a dedicated staff to operate them), and seems valid
under circumstances where several laboratories can share the equipment
and no single laboratory can commit the necessary resources. However,
when smaller instruments are involved (e.g., a microtome or a
stereotaxic instrument) the advantage of having immediate access
to the instrument often far out weighs the cost of duplicating
the instruments across several laboratories.
- Interdisciplinary research will actually be
inhibited rather than stimulated. The P.I. may turn inward with
the extra resources, but the new NIH review criteria, with their
emphasis on innovation and collaboration, should act as a strong
counter force to any such tendency.
- Administrative efficacy will be diminished
because of the redistribution of funds. For example, a dean trying
to create a startup package, may fall short because he or she
did not have the extra 10%. This is a distinct possibility, but
I suspect that the 10% in the hands of the P.I. Will have a greater
overall beneficial effect on research productivity than the same
amount in the hands of a higher level administrator who is usually
thinking about issues more global than those that affect individual
laboratories. In trying to attract new researchers to the university,
it should not be forgotten that the already-present successful
P.I.s need to be maintained as the base upon which subsequent
growth occurs.
- The existence of such accounts for scientists
will depress the non-science faculties. While there is some truth
to this criticism, it can be pointed out that grant programs are
available to non-science faculty.
- What amounts or percentages would be appropriate
for grant applications ineligible for indirect costs? Policies
would have to be developed to address this issue.
- P.I.s may pad their budgets to increase returns
to the account (especially under Model 1). This, does not seem
likely given the sophisticated acumen of NIH study sections to
detect and eliminate any unnecessary budget items. In addition,
experienced P.I.s know in advance that perceived over-budgeting
will undermine confidence in the P.I. and reduce the proposal's
score.
- The rate of low quality proposals will increase,
with attendant harm to the reputations of the P.I. And the institution
(under Model 1). This could occur. But most Ph.D. faculty are
usually quite motivated to do their best once an intellectual
challenge is accepted.
Addressing salary issues and establishing internal
accounts will enhance the research productivity of successful researchers
as they continue their careers in an environment where both competition
and information are expanding at unprecedented rates.
|